That's right, nothing. And not just NOTHING . . . absolutely nothing. They're utterly worthless and without ANY value whatsoever. Even the Zogby Poll, which tends to be more accurate than the others, has its limitations. What kind of accuracy do you expect when 80% of people polled by telephone hang up the phone!
People generally don't trust polls, for good reason, and don't give pollsters the time of day. Others seem to get a "kick" out of lying to the pollsters. Take PENNSYLVANIA for example. During the Democratic primary this year, polls had Obama ahead by 3%, but Clinton won by 9%.
And what REALLY shows the FACT that people intentionally lie to pollsters, because pollsters are generally detested, seen as a lower form of life than used car salesmen and attorneys, EXIT POLLS showed Obama beating Hillary by 5% in Pennsylvania . . . what happened? The POLLS said Obama won by 5%, but Clinton ACTUALLY WON by 9%!
So a couple of things you can take away from polling data:
1)People say the opposite of who they will vote for just to mess with pollsters. People are somewhat put off by being called at home, and to pay the pollster back for bothering them, they give them inaccurate information.
2)80% Hang up the phone as soon as they hear the word "poll."
3)Conservatives are MORE distrusting of the polls, and so hang up on pollsters, or give them inaccurate information just to mess with the pollsters. It is the liberals who LIVE BY POLLS, that are oh so happy to participate in the poll . . . they think polls mean something. In fact, it's nobody's business who you're for . . . at least that is what most CONSERVATIVES think, and why conservatives are almost ALWAYS silent, or misunderstood in polling. Liberals want YOU to be informed of who they support, however they have NO INTEREST in being informed on the issues themselves, or the character of the candidate. I think at some point liberals just ASSUME that their candidate is a scumbag, so they don't care.
Show me a presidential poll that has been CLOSE to being accurate in modern history and I'll show you someone who has been smoking crack(you). But no matter how WRONG the polls are, Al Gore and John Kerry were both "leading in the polls," the media just heaps it on heavier the next time. In fact, there have been more polls taken in just the last SIX WEEKS than the entire presidential campaign in 2004. Instead of figuring out a more accurate way to poll, or giving it up altogether(which seems like the best alternative), they just give us more polls. And so we get MORE inaccuracy, more garbage, more worthless information.
Finally, one of the main reasons(I think), that polls are inaccurate, is that polls catch you at home. The voting booth doesn't stop at your house and let you vote from the couch. People SAY they are registered to vote, SAY they are going to vote, but statistics show that these people just don't want to admit to the pollsters that they don't have the motivation to vote, for whatever reason, or aren't informed enough to make an intelligent decision. SO they just THROW A NAME OUT THERE. That's right, you heard it here first. The election train doesn't ride by, ring your doorbell, and wheel a voting machine into your house so you can vote without missing your favorite meaningless sitcom. You have to GET UP OFF THE COUCH AND GO VOTE. THIS is why, I think, conservatives always do better in elections than polls. Conservatives know what EFFORT means. They don't wait for the world to come to them, they get up and make things happen for themselves. It's the guy who just answers the phone and SAYS he is going to vote that also sits and waits for his check to come once a month that skews the polls, and is more likely than not a Democratic voter. Who's more likely to be for higher taxes, and government handouts? The guy who works 60+ hours a week to support his family, or the guy who watches tv and answers the phone on the first ring when the pollster calls? The questions don't come much easier than that, folks. if ya missed THAT one, I am afraid you need to go back and read every entry in this blog for the past two months to get up to speed. Hell, do it anyway! : )
Also, its far more likely that a conservative that WORKS to pay for the guy to sit on the couch is out WORKING and not home answering the phone when the pollster does call. How much money can you make sitting on the couch eating Cheeto's talking to pollsters?
I hope that at SOME POINT people will rise up, and tell the media "HEY, WE DON'T WANT YOUR BOGUS POLL RESULTS! REPORT THE NEWS, BOTH SIDES OF IT, FAIRLY, AND I'LL BE HAPPY!"
There needs to be a groundswell, an uprising against the media who tries and discourage voter turnout with their polls, and try to get people to "get on the bandwagon" . . . if we all TURN OUR TV'S OFF THE SECOND A POLL IS MENTIONED, at some point the networks would start paying attention. When the ratings start showing that there WERE 12 Million viewers, until poll results were mentioned, and then suddenly there were 36 people watching, I think things might change. Until then, every time you hear a poll, just LAUGH . . . and see ME at Republican Headquarters Tuesday night in Louisville, KY LAUGHING AT THE POLLSTERS . . . AGAIN!
By the way, I will be spending from 9am-6pm working phones for the McCain campaign today, so I will have some VERY HARD, HANDS ON DATA for you tonight. I expect to be hung up on most of the time, and I expect that I will hear way more people supporting McCain than the media would have you believe. We'll see . . . I'll be blogging tonight, come back and see me. Yeah, that's right. I won't be home watching tv all day waiting for a pollster to call. Us conservatives have to get up and WORK to make the world go around so those that feel especially "entitled" can sit home and do nothing and wonder why they don't have "opportunity," and eat the Cheeto's us McCain supporters BOUGHT FOR THEM!
Love ya, mean it. : )
Saturday, November 1, 2008
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