1)Zogby accurately predicted the winner in 17 of 18 U.S. Senate races in 2006. In that one race that Zogby missed – the very tight contest in Missouri between incumbent Republican Jim Talent and Democratic challenger Claire McCaskill, Zogby was still within the margin of error for the poll.
2)In 2004, Zogby’s polling was on the money in 85% of the states that it polled, while, state by state, the poll was within 4 points on average.
3)In 2006, a study found that Zogby's surveys were actually more accurate than telephone polling.
So what does all this mean? Glad you asked. Today it was announced that with voters under age 30, McCain has gained 30% with those voters in just the past week. With voters 30-45, McCain gained around 17% over that same period. However, with voters between 45-65 there was almost no change, and voters over 65 seem to be moving toward Obama. This was found to be due to the USUAL scare tactic that Democrats use, telling seniors that Republicans want to cut social security, which is absolute nonsense. Have any of the Republicans actually DONE this? No. But the Dems always try and sell that idea for some reason. When will people realize that the Dems say that same crap every four years?
So what does John McCain do? Well, he needs to keep doing what he is doing to help himself with voters under 45. Joe the Plumber and Tito the Builder are helping tremendously. But with the seniors, expect $7 Million in "Reverend Wright" ads this weekend to pull some of those seniors back into the McCain fold.
The writing is on the wall, folks. If Obama really thought the media and the polls were right, would be be suddenly be going BACK to Iowa, Arizona, and North Dakota? No. If he had the comfortable lead the media SAYS he has, he wouldn't need to go looking for more votes.
So watch that tv this weekend, and THINK OF ME when ya see those Reverend Wright ads . . . I'll be working all day tomorrow for the McCain campaign, calling people and telling them what the media WON'T TELL THEM.
GOD BLESS AMERICA!